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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.10+1.05vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.55+0.57vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.47-1.35vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.12-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.98-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Washington2.100.4%1st Place
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2.57University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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2.65Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.02Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 40.4% | 27.9% | 19.9% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Stephen Moran | 22.8% | 26.4% | 24.9% | 22.8% | 3.1% |
| Cody Odou | 21.2% | 25.3% | 25.1% | 24.6% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Halliday | 14.4% | 18.1% | 25.6% | 34.4% | 7.5% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.