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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+4.85vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.32+5.86vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.86vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.17+8.75vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+4.45vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+1.75vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.88+0.69vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.22vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.23+1.11vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.29-4.43vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.23-2.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-9.43vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.07-9.96vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Brown University1.9210.4%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University1.326.2%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University1.9011.5%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University0.171.8%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University0.955.0%1st Place
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7.75Jacksonville University-1.386.4%1st Place
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6.54Tulane University1.739.9%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island0.884.2%1st Place
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8.78Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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12.11SUNY Maritime College0.232.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University1.296.8%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.254.7%1st Place
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11.59University of Miami0.231.7%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.6%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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15.13University of Wisconsin-0.990.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 13.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Allen | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 11.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Leah Harper | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.