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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+4.86vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+4.03vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+4.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+1.88vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.23+5.40vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.21vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.17+4.72vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.32-1.26vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.29-2.38vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.88-2.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-3.72vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.23-1.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-9.36vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.14-7.40vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Harvard University1.909.8%1st Place
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6.03Bowdoin College2.0711.1%1st Place
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7.69Jacksonville University-1.385.8%1st Place
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5.88Brown University1.9210.7%1st Place
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6.61Tulane University1.738.8%1st Place
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11.4University of Miami0.232.5%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University0.171.6%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University1.327.0%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University1.297.4%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University0.953.6%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island0.884.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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12.07SUNY Maritime College0.232.4%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy2.0412.3%1st Place
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8.6Boston University1.145.6%1st Place
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15.18University of Wisconsin-0.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Leah Harper | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 13.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 10.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.