← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.10+0.66vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.12+0.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon1.55-0.90vs Predicted
-
6University of Puget Sound-0.98-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.66University of Washington2.100.5%1st Place
-
2.45Western Washington University1.120.2%1st Place
-
2.1University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
-
3.8University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 52.2% | 31.6% | 14.1% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Halliday | 18.4% | 25.5% | 49.1% | 7.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 28.2% | 38.4% | 29.1% | 4.3% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.