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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.66vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.32+5.94vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+3.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+2.05vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.23+7.17vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.88+3.82vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-1.71vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-3.99vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-1.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.25-2.59vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-5.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-8.09vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.23-3.47vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-3.41vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Tulane University1.739.2%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University1.325.7%1st Place
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6.31Bowdoin College2.079.3%1st Place
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6.05Brown University1.929.8%1st Place
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12.17SUNY Maritime College0.231.9%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island0.884.0%1st Place
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5.29Georgetown University2.2013.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University1.9010.7%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University0.953.2%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University1.254.3%1st Place
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7.92Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.8%1st Place
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11.53University of Miami0.232.2%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University0.171.7%1st Place
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15.22University of Wisconsin-0.990.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 9.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Harper | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 13.5% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.