Race 5A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dillon Paiva 21.8% 20.9% 16.6% 13.9% 12.9% 6.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 11.9% 11.7% 12.7% 12.2% 13.6% 11.8% 10.2% 8.0% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 10.2% 9.7% 11.9% 13.5% 11.6% 13.1% 11.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 7.5% 7.0% 11.4% 15.9% 21.1% 20.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 14.4% 12.5% 14.2% 12.5% 11.4% 11.0% 10.9% 7.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 17.8% 18.9% 15.3% 15.0% 10.2% 8.2% 7.7% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 14.4% 12.5% 14.2% 12.5% 11.4% 11.0% 10.9% 7.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 3.4% 3.8% 3.2% 4.2% 5.0% 7.1% 10.0% 12.5% 14.4% 20.1% 16.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 8.6% 8.8% 10.6% 11.4% 13.3% 11.2% 12.4% 9.8% 9.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 3.6% 4.2% 3.8% 4.9% 6.2% 8.1% 10.5% 13.2% 16.9% 17.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 5.0% 5.2% 6.7% 6.2% 8.7% 10.8% 11.0% 15.8% 14.3% 10.2% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Brown 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 2.4% 4.4% 4.7% 7.4% 10.8% 19.7% 43.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 7.5% 7.0% 11.4% 15.9% 21.1% 20.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.