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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.10+1.03vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.08+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.55-0.48vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.47-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.98-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Washington2.100.4%1st Place
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3.09Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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2.65Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 41.6% | 28.0% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Gabe Hill | 12.5% | 18.2% | 24.7% | 37.3% | 7.3% |
| Stephen Moran | 23.9% | 26.7% | 26.0% | 20.2% | 3.2% |
| Cody Odou | 20.8% | 25.1% | 26.4% | 23.4% | 4.3% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.