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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.48+9.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+6.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.86vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+0.96vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.32+1.79vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.82vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.88+1.08vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-3.72vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.17vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-6.15vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-3.29vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.23-1.91vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.23-3.26vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-3.14vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Georgetown University2.2012.4%1st Place
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11.35University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.7%1st Place
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5.96Brown University1.9210.4%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University1.326.2%1st Place
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7.82Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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6.75Tulane University1.738.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island0.883.8%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College2.079.4%1st Place
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8.83Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University1.9011.9%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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12.09SUNY Maritime College0.231.7%1st Place
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11.74University of Miami0.232.1%1st Place
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12.86Northeastern University0.171.7%1st Place
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15.26University of Wisconsin-0.990.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 9.8% |
| Leah Harper | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 6.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 14.4% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.