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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.92+4.14vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+6.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.25+5.49vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.22vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.32+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.88+3.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.23+2.72vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-3.98vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.24vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.73vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-5.16vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.52vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.23-2.90vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-3.38vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Tulane University1.738.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University1.9211.2%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University2.2014.1%1st Place
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7.97George Washington University1.325.2%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island0.883.8%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.7%1st Place
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11.72University of Miami0.232.0%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University1.909.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College2.079.4%1st Place
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7.84Jacksonville University-1.387.3%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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12.1SUNY Maritime College0.231.5%1st Place
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12.62Northeastern University0.171.8%1st Place
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15.2University of Wisconsin-0.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Harper | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 9.3% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 13.7% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.