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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+5.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+4.00vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+1.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.32+1.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.32vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.23+3.34vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-3.76vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.17+1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.88-2.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-3.63vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.23-2.29vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-6.16vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.95-6.42vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Brown University1.9210.7%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University2.2012.6%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University1.9012.3%1st Place
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8.0Jacksonville University-1.386.2%1st Place
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6.89Tulane University1.737.2%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University1.325.8%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.4%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont0.483.1%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Maritime College0.231.6%1st Place
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6.24Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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12.61Northeastern University0.171.2%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island0.883.2%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University1.254.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Miami0.232.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University1.145.2%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University0.953.7%1st Place
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15.16University of Wisconsin-0.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.6% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 10.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 12.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Leah Harper | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.