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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.55+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.10-0.34vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.12-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.98-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
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1.66University of Washington2.100.5%1st Place
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2.45Western Washington University1.120.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Moran | 29.7% | 36.0% | 30.3% | 4.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 50.8% | 33.6% | 14.5% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Halliday | 18.6% | 25.9% | 47.0% | 8.5% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 0.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.