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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+3.96vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+1.99vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+2.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+3.76vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.99+8.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.23+2.65vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.16vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.81vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.88vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.32-6.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.88-5.03vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-3.25vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.23-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Georgetown University2.2012.9%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University1.9011.3%1st Place
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6.7Tulane University1.738.5%1st Place
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5.99Brown University1.9211.1%1st Place
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7.97Jacksonville University-1.385.6%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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15.11University of Wisconsin-0.990.7%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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11.65University of Miami0.232.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.5%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.079.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont0.483.2%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University1.326.7%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island0.883.9%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University0.171.1%1st Place
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12.14SUNY Maritime College0.232.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 55.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Leah Harper | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 14.4% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.