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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.48+9.22vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+3.73vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+1.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+1.18vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+1.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92-0.99vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+1.71vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+0.57vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.32-2.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.17+1.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.04-6.14vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.23-1.28vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.23-1.78vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-6.03vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.88-5.98vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Georgetown University2.2012.8%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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6.73Tulane University1.738.6%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University1.9011.7%1st Place
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6.18Bowdoin College2.079.2%1st Place
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7.78Jacksonville University-1.386.2%1st Place
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6.01Brown University1.9210.7%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University1.326.7%1st Place
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12.8Northeastern University0.171.4%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.6%1st Place
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11.72University of Miami0.231.8%1st Place
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12.22SUNY Maritime College0.232.4%1st Place
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8.97Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island0.883.0%1st Place
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15.13University of Wisconsin-0.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 14.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Harper | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 10.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.