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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.32+5.10vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+2.71vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+3.96vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90-0.07vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.91vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-1.89vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.95+0.69vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.17+2.66vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.88-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.73vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-3.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-8.17vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.23-3.13vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.23-3.97vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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5.43Georgetown University2.2011.7%1st Place
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8.1George Washington University1.326.2%1st Place
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6.71Tulane University1.738.8%1st Place
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8.96Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University1.9011.7%1st Place
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7.91Jacksonville University-1.386.2%1st Place
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6.11Brown University1.9210.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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12.66Northeastern University0.171.5%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island0.883.9%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University1.254.8%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.9%1st Place
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11.87University of Miami0.231.9%1st Place
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12.03SUNY Maritime College0.231.7%1st Place
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15.16University of Wisconsin-0.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 13.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 5.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Harper | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 7.3% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.