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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.71vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+3.21vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+1.97vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+1.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+3.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.23vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.23+4.20vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.17+3.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.88-2.15vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-1.38-5.33vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.32-6.07vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.25-5.44vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.23-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Tulane University1.738.9%1st Place
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5.29Georgetown University2.2014.1%1st Place
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6.21Bowdoin College2.079.2%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University1.9010.2%1st Place
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6.13Brown University1.9210.0%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University0.953.6%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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12.2SUNY Maritime College0.231.7%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University0.172.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston University1.144.4%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.8%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island0.883.5%1st Place
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7.67Jacksonville University-1.386.3%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University1.326.3%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.254.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Wisconsin-0.990.3%1st Place
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11.7University of Miami0.232.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 13.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Emily Allen | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 55.6% |
| Leah Harper | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.