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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+4.96vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+3.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+6.36vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+2.20vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.14vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.32+2.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.17+4.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.88+0.97vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.84vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-3.16vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.23+0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.23-1.34vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-4.47vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.66vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.99-0.82vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.73-10.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Brown University1.9210.3%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University1.9011.0%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.254.9%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College2.0710.4%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University2.2013.7%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University1.325.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Naval Academy2.049.7%1st Place
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12.6Northeastern University0.171.8%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island0.883.8%1st Place
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9.16Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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7.84Jacksonville University-1.386.6%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College0.231.9%1st Place
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11.66University of Miami0.232.5%1st Place
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9.53Old Dominion University0.954.2%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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15.18University of Wisconsin-0.990.2%1st Place
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6.94Tulane University1.737.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 12.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Emily Allen | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 10.4% |
| Leah Harper | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 56.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.