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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.46vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.32+5.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+6.21vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+1.01vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.66+5.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92-0.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.25+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-0.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.17+2.17vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.90-5.32vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-6.06vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.23-1.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-8.50vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.88-5.53vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.17vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.76-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Tulane University1.739.2%1st Place
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7.56George Washington University1.326.1%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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5.01Georgetown University2.2014.8%1st Place
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10.31Jacksonville University0.662.6%1st Place
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5.79Brown University1.9210.8%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University1.254.5%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University1.144.1%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University0.172.1%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University1.9010.2%1st Place
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5.94Bowdoin College2.0710.8%1st Place
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11.75SUNY Maritime College0.231.8%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.5%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island0.884.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Wisconsin-0.990.5%1st Place
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14.43University of Miami-0.760.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 20.1% | 43.2% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 23.0% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.