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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+4.95vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+2.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+3.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+0.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90-0.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+2.92vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-0.55vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.66+0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.99+3.98vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.17+0.10vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-3.98vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.88-4.50vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-5.64vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.76-1.56vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.23-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Bowdoin College2.0710.3%1st Place
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6.64Tulane University1.738.6%1st Place
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5.1Georgetown University2.2013.1%1st Place
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7.65George Washington University1.326.2%1st Place
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5.84Brown University1.9210.9%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University1.9011.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Naval Academy2.0412.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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8.45Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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10.26Jacksonville University0.662.9%1st Place
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14.98University of Wisconsin-0.990.5%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University0.171.6%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University1.255.2%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island0.883.8%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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14.44University of Miami-0.760.5%1st Place
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11.68SUNY Maritime College0.232.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 20.2% | 44.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 9.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 24.1% | 32.2% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.