Race 6A

riley-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gary Herring 11.1% 13.2% 14.2% 12.6% 14.2% 12.9% 9.2% 7.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 3.4% 2.1% 3.5% 3.4% 5.7% 7.2% 7.7% 12.9% 16.3% 20.3% 17.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 21.3% 20.8% 17.0% 12.8% 10.8% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 17.6% 16.5% 16.5% 13.9% 12.9% 9.2% 6.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 12.5% 12.2% 11.7% 13.2% 10.8% 11.6% 11.3% 7.6% 5.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 11.8% 12.3% 11.2% 13.0% 12.5% 10.2% 11.0% 7.3% 7.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 9.9% 9.8% 10.3% 11.7% 11.4% 12.6% 11.2% 9.9% 8.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 3.8% 3.3% 5.1% 5.6% 6.4% 7.8% 11.2% 13.8% 14.5% 18.2% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 4.6% 5.6% 4.3% 7.4% 6.6% 10.3% 13.2% 14.3% 14.3% 12.3% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 11.1% 13.2% 14.2% 12.6% 14.2% 12.9% 9.2% 7.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.7% 3.3% 3.9% 4.1% 5.6% 5.9% 8.7% 12.2% 16.1% 18.9% 18.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Brown 1.3% 0.9% 2.3% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 8.3% 11.6% 18.7% 43.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.7% 3.3% 3.9% 4.1% 5.6% 5.9% 8.7% 12.2% 16.1% 18.9% 18.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.