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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+4.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+3.65vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.48+7.94vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.32+3.66vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+1.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-0.97vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.23+4.63vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-1.91vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.17+3.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.25-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.76+3.34vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.88-2.31vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-3.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-8.56vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-6.46vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.66-5.74vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.99-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Brown University1.9210.6%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University1.9012.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University1.327.0%1st Place
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6.45Tulane University1.739.3%1st Place
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5.03Georgetown University2.2013.0%1st Place
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11.63SUNY Maritime College0.231.8%1st Place
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6.09Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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12.33Northeastern University0.171.5%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University1.253.6%1st Place
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14.34University of Miami-0.760.5%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island0.883.1%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Naval Academy2.0412.7%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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10.26Jacksonville University0.663.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Wisconsin-0.990.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 9.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 22.8% | 31.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 20.0% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.