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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+4.62vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+6.11vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.66+6.52vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+5.98vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.32+1.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92-1.25vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-2.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-0.57vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-4.96vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.88-2.39vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.17-0.73vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.23-2.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-9.44vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.99-1.29vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.76-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Harvard University1.9011.3%1st Place
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6.51Tulane University1.738.2%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University1.254.0%1st Place
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10.52Jacksonville University0.662.5%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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7.45George Washington University1.326.8%1st Place
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5.75Brown University1.9210.8%1st Place
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5.94Bowdoin College2.0710.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University2.2014.8%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University0.953.8%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island0.883.3%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University0.171.9%1st Place
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11.64SUNY Maritime College0.231.8%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy2.0412.3%1st Place
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14.71University of Wisconsin-0.990.8%1st Place
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14.51University of Miami-0.760.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 9.6% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 43.6% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 25.8% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.