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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+7.67vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.23+9.77vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88+5.58vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+0.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.17+6.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92-1.31vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.32-0.42vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.66+1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+0.76vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-4.38vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.76+2.45vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-3.72vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.25-5.04vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin-0.99-0.20vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-11.01vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.04-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Boston University1.145.2%1st Place
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11.77SUNY Maritime College0.232.3%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College2.0710.3%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island0.882.8%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.9010.9%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University0.171.7%1st Place
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5.69Brown University1.9212.4%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University1.326.2%1st Place
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10.36Jacksonville University0.662.2%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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6.62Tulane University1.738.9%1st Place
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14.45University of Miami-0.760.5%1st Place
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9.28Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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14.8University of Wisconsin-0.990.4%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University2.2014.2%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 8.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 23.4% | 33.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 20.8% | 42.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.