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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.85+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.50+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.03+0.49vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.21+1.19vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.55-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.94-2.43vs Predicted
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7Ohio University0.02-1.52vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.98+0.37vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.29-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Michigan0.8517.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Michigan0.5012.7%1st Place
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3.49University of Wisconsin1.0318.9%1st Place
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5.19Michigan State University0.218.2%1st Place
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4.48Northwestern University0.5511.3%1st Place
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3.57University of Notre Dame0.9417.7%1st Place
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5.48Ohio University0.027.2%1st Place
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8.37Unknown School-1.980.5%1st Place
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6.03Northwestern University-0.296.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Pytell | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
Brody Schwartz | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
Jacob Macdonald | 18.9% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
Dominique DeLano | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 3.5% |
Marina Hutzler | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
Nicholas Peluchiwski | 17.7% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
Nick Maude | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 4.9% |
Helen Livingston | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 76.3% |
Gabriel Abbott | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 26.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.