← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Unknown School-1.73+5.88vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-2.12+5.48vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.04-0.66vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University0.46-0.95vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University-0.19-0.70vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.21-1.81vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-0.15-2.86vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-1.67-1.20vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-1.08-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.88Unknown School-1.732.0%1st Place
-
7.48Northwestern University-2.121.7%1st Place
-
2.34University of Wisconsin1.0435.2%1st Place
-
3.05Michigan State University0.4622.0%1st Place
-
4.3Ohio University-0.199.7%1st Place
-
4.19Northwestern University-0.2111.9%1st Place
-
4.14University of Michigan-0.1511.0%1st Place
-
6.8University of Notre Dame-1.672.2%1st Place
-
5.82University of Michigan-1.084.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Hokaj | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 25.2% | 22.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 42.9% |
| Jack Schweda | 35.2% | 28.1% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 22.0% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Siri Schantz | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Maxime Visa | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Gordon Fream | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 25.3% | 22.7% |
| Anna Brieden | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.