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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.55+3.63vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.42+2.42vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.00+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.23-1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.31-2.84vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.19-2.48vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.42-1.07vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.88-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Marquette University-0.555.7%1st Place
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4.42Lake Forest College-0.426.5%1st Place
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6.62Marquette University-2.001.6%1st Place
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2.22University of Wisconsin1.2333.5%1st Place
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2.16University of Wisconsin1.3137.0%1st Place
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3.52Michigan Technological University0.1912.0%1st Place
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5.93Northwestern University-1.421.8%1st Place
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6.49Purdue University-1.881.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etain McKinney | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 40.2% |
| Adam McAvoy | 33.5% | 31.7% | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 37.0% | 29.0% | 20.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 12.0% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Austin Porras | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 26.6% | 17.8% |
| Hugo Day | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 26.7% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.