Race 7A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Campbell 17.1% 17.2% 17.0% 14.4% 13.4% 10.3% 6.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 11.2% 11.7% 11.6% 13.8% 12.9% 12.1% 11.0% 8.9% 5.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 8.4% 13.7% 21.6% 28.7% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.1% 11.2% 12.2% 15.7% 14.3% 12.1% 10.2% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 9.3% 10.2% 8.7% 10.9% 12.7% 12.6% 12.2% 10.2% 8.1% 4.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 23.3% 22.2% 18.1% 12.1% 8.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 12.8% 12.8% 14.6% 11.8% 12.6% 13.3% 9.4% 6.6% 3.6% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 3.3% 2.2% 4.3% 3.9% 5.4% 7.7% 11.6% 13.6% 20.5% 24.3% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 4.5% 5.4% 4.8% 7.2% 8.2% 9.5% 14.0% 16.7% 15.4% 12.2% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.1% 11.2% 12.2% 15.7% 14.3% 12.1% 10.2% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 3.3% 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 9.5% 11.0% 15.3% 17.5% 19.5% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Wakeen 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.8% 5.0% 88.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 8.4% 13.7% 21.6% 28.7% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.