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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.19+2.59vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.42+3.86vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.31-0.86vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.23-2.81vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.55-1.31vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.00-0.40vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.88-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Michigan Technological University0.1911.0%1st Place
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5.86Northwestern University-1.422.1%1st Place
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2.14University of Wisconsin1.3136.5%1st Place
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4.44Lake Forest College-0.427.2%1st Place
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2.19University of Wisconsin1.2334.8%1st Place
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4.69Marquette University-0.555.1%1st Place
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6.6Marquette University-2.001.8%1st Place
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6.49Purdue University-1.881.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donny Marwin | 11.0% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Austin Porras | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 24.9% | 17.3% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 36.5% | 30.3% | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Adam McAvoy | 34.8% | 31.1% | 20.0% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.7% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 26.9% | 39.5% |
| Hugo Day | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 25.2% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.