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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.23+0.21vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+1.64vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42+0.48vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.00+1.60vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.19-2.41vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.88-0.59vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.42-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of Wisconsin1.3136.0%1st Place
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2.21University of Wisconsin1.2334.1%1st Place
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4.64Marquette University-0.555.8%1st Place
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4.48Lake Forest College-0.425.9%1st Place
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6.6Marquette University-2.002.1%1st Place
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3.59Michigan Technological University0.1912.1%1st Place
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6.41Purdue University-1.881.6%1st Place
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5.91Northwestern University-1.422.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 36.0% | 31.4% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam McAvoy | 34.1% | 31.1% | 20.5% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 25.2% | 39.8% |
| Donny Marwin | 12.1% | 14.1% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Hugo Day | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 24.9% | 34.0% |
| Austin Porras | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 26.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.