← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.23+1.22vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-0.55+2.61vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.31-0.86vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University0.19-0.45vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-2.00+1.62vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-1.42-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Lake Forest College-0.42-2.54vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University-1.88-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.22University of Wisconsin1.2334.6%1st Place
-
4.61Marquette University-0.555.8%1st Place
-
2.14University of Wisconsin1.3136.4%1st Place
-
3.55Michigan Technological University0.1911.2%1st Place
-
6.62Marquette University-2.001.4%1st Place
-
5.91Northwestern University-1.422.5%1st Place
-
4.46Lake Forest College-0.426.8%1st Place
-
6.49Purdue University-1.881.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam McAvoy | 34.6% | 29.2% | 21.9% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 36.4% | 31.4% | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Donny Marwin | 11.2% | 15.3% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 40.1% |
| Austin Porras | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 26.5% | 17.9% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Hugo Day | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.