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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.20vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.19+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.44+0.44vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.55+0.98vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.21-1.28vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.42-1.18vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.88-0.17vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.42-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Wisconsin1.3138.1%1st Place
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3.74Michigan Technological University0.1914.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Wisconsin0.4416.3%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University-0.556.0%1st Place
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3.72Marquette University0.2113.7%1st Place
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4.82Lake Forest College-0.426.9%1st Place
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6.83Purdue University-1.881.9%1st Place
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6.27Northwestern University-1.423.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 38.1% | 28.7% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Donny Marwin | 14.1% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| George Lockwood | 16.3% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Etain McKinney | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 7.8% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 13.7% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 6.3% |
| Hugo Day | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 21.3% | 51.2% |
| Austin Porras | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 28.6% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.