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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College-0.42+3.76vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.55+2.93vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.19+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.44-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.31-2.85vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.21-2.25vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.88-0.15vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.42-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Lake Forest College-0.426.8%1st Place
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4.93Marquette University-0.555.8%1st Place
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3.82Michigan Technological University0.1913.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin0.4416.1%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin1.3140.6%1st Place
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3.75Marquette University0.2113.5%1st Place
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6.85Purdue University-1.881.9%1st Place
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6.37Northwestern University-1.422.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Marquez | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 6.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 6.5% |
| Donny Marwin | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| George Lockwood | 16.1% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 40.6% | 27.6% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 13.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Hugo Day | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 21.9% | 52.0% |
| Austin Porras | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 30.3% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.