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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.16+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+0.72vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.81+1.66vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.47+0.09vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.18-1.38vs Predicted
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6Marquette University2.00-0.80vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.96-0.54vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.73-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Wisconsin0.1623.5%1st Place
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2.72University of Wisconsin0.3627.4%1st Place
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4.66Lake Forest College-0.818.2%1st Place
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4.09Purdue University-0.4712.3%1st Place
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3.62Michigan Technological University-0.1816.2%1st Place
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5.2Marquette University2.006.3%1st Place
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6.46Marquette University-1.962.6%1st Place
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6.18Northwestern University-1.733.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 23.5% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 27.4% | 23.8% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Brown | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 6.3% |
| James Miller | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| William Blacketor | 16.2% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Teague McGinn | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 13.2% |
| Gwen Busch | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 21.5% | 42.3% |
| Prabhav Jain | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 24.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.