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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.16+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+0.79vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.81+1.66vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.18-0.50vs Predicted
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5Marquette University2.00+0.14vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.47-1.89vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.73-0.85vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.96-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Wisconsin0.1622.7%1st Place
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2.79University of Wisconsin0.3626.4%1st Place
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4.66Lake Forest College-0.818.6%1st Place
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3.5Michigan Technological University-0.1818.3%1st Place
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5.14Marquette University2.005.7%1st Place
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4.11Purdue University-0.4711.8%1st Place
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6.15Northwestern University-1.734.1%1st Place
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6.56Marquette University-1.962.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 22.7% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 26.4% | 24.7% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Arthur Brown | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 7.0% |
| William Blacketor | 18.3% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Teague McGinn | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 11.2% |
| James Miller | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Prabhav Jain | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 25.7% | 31.1% |
| Gwen Busch | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.