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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.16+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+0.86vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.18+0.81vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.74+0.77vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.47-0.61vs Predicted
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6Marquette University2.00-0.59vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-0.81-2.08vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.96-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Wisconsin0.1621.9%1st Place
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2.86University of Wisconsin0.3627.4%1st Place
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3.81Michigan Technological University-0.1814.1%1st Place
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4.77Northwestern University-0.748.6%1st Place
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4.39Purdue University-0.4710.5%1st Place
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5.41Marquette University2.006.0%1st Place
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4.92Lake Forest College-0.818.5%1st Place
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6.65Marquette University-1.963.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 21.9% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 27.4% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| William Blacketor | 14.1% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Dexter Gormley | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 9.6% |
| James Miller | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 5.1% |
| Teague McGinn | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 18.8% |
| Arthur Brown | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 11.1% |
| Gwen Busch | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.