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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+3.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.39+0.77vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.20+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.72+2.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.45-1.28vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.01-1.31vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.10+0.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-1.91+1.80vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.27-0.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-3.93vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-1.89-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Roger Williams University0.9415.0%1st Place
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2.77Roger Williams University1.3931.4%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University0.4614.6%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island-0.205.5%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont-0.722.9%1st Place
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4.72Brown University0.4511.4%1st Place
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5.69McGill University0.018.1%1st Place
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8.94Bentley University-1.102.1%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University-1.911.1%1st Place
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9.32Bentley University-1.271.9%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.7%1st Place
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8.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.972.9%1st Place
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10.69Brandeis University-1.890.9%1st Place
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11.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 31.4% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mungo McKemey | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Quinn Brighton | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Aditya Khanna | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 6.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 7.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Miles Laker | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.