Race 8A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ian Liberty 9.5% 11.0% 13.7% 11.6% 13.6% 13.6% 12.6% 8.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 12.4% 11.9% 12.3% 13.6% 11.2% 14.5% 11.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 9.1% 13.9% 19.0% 29.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.0% 12.3% 12.9% 13.9% 15.6% 12.1% 8.6% 7.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 4.5% 5.3% 5.5% 8.6% 7.3% 9.8% 14.7% 14.0% 16.8% 12.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 17.2% 18.3% 18.3% 13.5% 11.4% 7.3% 7.5% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 4.6% 4.2% 3.4% 6.4% 8.2% 7.3% 10.6% 16.2% 18.4% 18.1% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 25.6% 22.9% 16.0% 11.4% 9.7% 8.0% 3.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 8.4% 8.4% 9.6% 12.1% 12.6% 13.1% 12.0% 11.1% 7.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.0% 12.3% 12.9% 13.9% 15.6% 12.1% 8.6% 7.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 2.6% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% 5.6% 7.2% 9.7% 14.6% 19.5% 25.1% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Wakeen 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 2.7% 6.3% 87.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 9.1% 13.9% 19.0% 29.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.