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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.16+2.36vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.81+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+0.03vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.74+1.01vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.47-0.52vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.18-2.04vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.98-1.58vs Predicted
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8Marquette University2.00-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Wisconsin0.1620.6%1st Place
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5.14Lake Forest College-0.818.6%1st Place
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3.03University of Wisconsin0.3625.4%1st Place
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5.01Northwestern University-0.747.9%1st Place
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4.48Purdue University-0.4710.5%1st Place
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3.96Michigan Technological University-0.1813.5%1st Place
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5.42Marquette University-0.986.8%1st Place
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5.61Marquette University2.006.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 20.6% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Arthur Brown | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 16.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 25.4% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Dexter Gormley | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 16.1% |
| James Miller | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| William Blacketor | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Sara Boutelle | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 23.1% |
| Teague McGinn | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.