Race 9A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gary Herring 14.2% 14.9% 11.3% 13.9% 13.1% 11.3% 9.7% 7.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 8.2% 8.6% 9.9% 11.5% 13.0% 13.3% 13.4% 11.1% 6.9% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.7% 10.0% 13.3% 20.7% 30.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 22.4% 21.2% 18.0% 14.3% 9.3% 7.6% 4.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 12.8% 11.2% 13.8% 12.0% 12.3% 13.5% 11.5% 7.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 19.3% 17.7% 17.2% 12.6% 13.4% 10.1% 5.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 14.2% 14.9% 11.3% 13.9% 13.1% 11.3% 9.7% 7.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% 4.7% 5.3% 7.1% 8.9% 14.5% 24.1% 27.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 3.3% 3.9% 5.0% 5.9% 7.0% 8.1% 11.5% 16.7% 18.7% 19.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 4.8% 5.3% 5.0% 7.1% 9.2% 10.1% 12.9% 17.8% 15.2% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% 4.7% 5.3% 7.1% 8.9% 14.5% 24.1% 27.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 9.7% 12.6% 13.6% 12.4% 11.9% 13.2% 12.5% 7.5% 5.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.