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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.39+1.84vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+2.16vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+1.18vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.01+1.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.45-0.22vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-1.91+4.79vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.72+0.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+1.53vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.10-0.17vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.27-0.68vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-1.89-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Roger Williams University1.3929.2%1st Place
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4.16Roger Williams University0.9414.7%1st Place
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4.18Salve Regina University0.4615.6%1st Place
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5.81McGill University0.017.6%1st Place
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4.78Brown University0.4511.5%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University-1.911.2%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont-0.723.8%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.9%1st Place
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8.83Bentley University-1.101.8%1st Place
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9.32Bentley University-1.272.1%1st Place
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10.92Brandeis University-1.891.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.973.6%1st Place
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11.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.8%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island-0.205.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 29.2% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 14.7% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 15.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Brighton | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aditya Khanna | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 19.6% |
| Mungo McKemey | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Miles Laker | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 40.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.