← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.27+2.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.39+0.14vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University0.34+0.69vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota1.18-1.47vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin2.08-3.73vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University0.36-2.33vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-1.44-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
-
3.14University of Wisconsin1.390.2%1st Place
-
4.69Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.53University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
-
2.27University of Wisconsin2.080.4%1st Place
-
4.67Northwestern University0.360.1%1st Place
-
6.43Northwestern University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Bruce | 17.6% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| James Sitter | 17.5% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Mabie | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 23.9% | 28.6% | 10.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 14.5% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 2.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 37.0% | 26.4% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carson Potter | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 22.3% | 29.4% | 10.1% |
| Madin Akpo-Esambe | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.