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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.42vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.63+1.92vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.69-0.38vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.87-0.41vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.19-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.05+0.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.08-0.82vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-2.04-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Pennsylvania3.160.7%1st Place
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3.92Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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2.62Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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3.59Ocean County College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.99Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.14Rutgers University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 67.6% | 23.7% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 4.9% | 12.7% | 22.1% | 25.4% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 15.9% | 36.6% | 25.4% | 15.5% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 6.9% | 16.4% | 24.7% | 25.9% | 18.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tracy Venella | 2.4% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 25.0% | 24.5% | 12.9% | 3.4% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 15.6% | 23.5% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| Peter Heinbockel | 1.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 28.1% | 21.5% |
| Malin Ludwig | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 23.2% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.