Race 10A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Campbell 19.6% 18.4% 16.5% 12.7% 12.2% 9.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 13.5% 12.4% 14.5% 13.6% 12.5% 11.7% 9.2% 8.3% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 11.3% 10.0% 10.9% 13.7% 14.2% 13.2% 12.8% 7.7% 5.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 4.6% 5.6% 7.3% 10.7% 12.9% 22.4% 28.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 8.9% 10.1% 9.8% 10.1% 12.6% 14.1% 13.5% 11.0% 6.6% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 23.8% 21.3% 17.9% 12.9% 10.3% 7.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 6.8% 12.1% 13.4% 20.7% 30.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 10.8% 14.2% 11.9% 15.6% 12.2% 11.8% 9.5% 7.9% 5.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 13.5% 12.4% 14.5% 13.6% 12.5% 11.7% 9.2% 8.3% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 4.3% 5.0% 6.4% 8.0% 9.0% 10.5% 11.6% 17.5% 15.4% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 3.2% 3.8% 5.8% 4.4% 7.0% 8.2% 11.3% 15.7% 18.8% 21.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 6.8% 12.1% 13.4% 20.7% 30.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.