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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-0.19+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.59vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.87+0.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.08+2.21vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.63-1.11vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.04+1.18vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69-4.31vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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1.41University of Pennsylvania3.160.7%1st Place
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3.58Ocean County College0.870.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.080.0%1st Place
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3.89Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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7.18Rutgers University-2.040.0%1st Place
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2.69Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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6.07University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Venella | 2.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 27.6% | 22.4% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 69.2% | 22.0% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 6.6% | 18.0% | 24.4% | 25.1% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Heinbockel | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 22.3% | 31.3% | 20.5% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 4.9% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 25.1% | 20.5% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Malin Ludwig | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 21.2% | 58.3% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 15.5% | 34.6% | 25.9% | 15.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 25.2% | 30.2% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.