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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.87+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.59vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.19+2.03vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.63-0.07vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69-2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.05+0.10vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.04+0.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.08-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Ocean County College0.870.1%1st Place
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1.41University of Pennsylvania3.160.7%1st Place
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5.03Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.93Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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2.65Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.19Rutgers University-2.040.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Burke | 7.0% | 16.7% | 25.6% | 26.1% | 15.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 67.9% | 24.3% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Venella | 2.5% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 25.4% | 14.7% | 3.9% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 4.8% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 27.0% | 22.5% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 15.8% | 34.7% | 27.3% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 0.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 24.8% | 29.0% | 17.5% |
| Malin Ludwig | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 20.0% | 60.9% |
| Peter Heinbockel | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 24.5% | 31.1% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.