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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.05+4.16vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.19+1.94vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.63-0.08vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69-2.36vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.87-2.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.08-0.83vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-2.04-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44University of Pennsylvania3.160.7%1st Place
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6.16University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.94Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.92Queen's University0.630.1%1st Place
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2.64Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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3.6Ocean County College0.870.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.15Rutgers University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 67.2% | 23.8% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 23.9% | 30.9% | 18.9% |
| Tracy Venella | 3.1% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 27.4% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 3.4% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 5.6% | 11.5% | 21.9% | 25.7% | 20.8% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 15.6% | 36.7% | 25.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 6.1% | 15.9% | 26.6% | 25.8% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Heinbockel | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 31.0% | 19.5% |
| Malin Ludwig | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.