← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.43vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.87+1.61vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.63+0.89vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.69-1.35vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-1.05+1.16vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-0.19-1.05vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.08-0.81vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-2.04-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.43University of Pennsylvania3.160.7%1st Place
-
3.61Ocean County College0.870.1%1st Place
-
3.89Queen's University0.630.1%1st Place
-
2.65Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.16University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
-
4.95Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.080.0%1st Place
-
7.13Rutgers University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 68.1% | 23.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 6.7% | 15.5% | 26.3% | 25.7% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 5.8% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 22.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 14.7% | 35.9% | 27.7% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 0.7% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 32.1% | 17.1% |
| Tracy Venella | 2.3% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 25.5% | 23.0% | 11.8% | 4.1% |
| Peter Heinbockel | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 23.8% | 28.1% | 21.7% |
| Malin Ludwig | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 22.3% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.