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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.47vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.19+2.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.08+2.20vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.87-1.31vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.63-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.05-0.84vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-2.04-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Webb Institute2.290.3%1st Place
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1.53University of Pennsylvania3.160.6%1st Place
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5.01Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.080.0%1st Place
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3.69Ocean County College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.02Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.16Rutgers University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 26.0% | 40.3% | 22.4% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 59.5% | 30.1% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Venella | 2.1% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 26.1% | 23.5% | 13.2% | 3.6% |
| Peter Heinbockel | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 22.3% | 31.0% | 19.4% |
| Thomas Burke | 6.0% | 11.3% | 28.6% | 26.9% | 17.8% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 4.8% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 29.5% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 24.7% | 29.5% | 19.1% |
| Malin Ludwig | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 21.0% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.