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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.25+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.43+3.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.17vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.03-1.27vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.28-0.18vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-0.22-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-1.60-0.26vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.37-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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5.07University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
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2.73Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.82Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
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4.65Ocean County College-0.220.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Pennsylvania-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.38Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 32.7% | 24.0% | 22.0% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Ranney | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 8.1% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 18.8% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Wright | 24.9% | 26.8% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Voigt | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 14.3% | 5.4% |
| Joseph Finley | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Justin Morena | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 22.3% | 48.6% |
| Van Huynh | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 28.4% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.