← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.25+1.47vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University-0.28+2.80vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University1.03-0.25vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College-0.22+0.71vs Predicted
-
5Rutgers University-1.37+1.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania-1.60+0.69vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-0.43-1.93vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
-
4.8Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
-
2.75Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
-
4.71Ocean County College-0.220.1%1st Place
-
6.42Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.69University of Pennsylvania-1.600.0%1st Place
-
5.07University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
-
3.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 30.7% | 27.4% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Cooper Voigt | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Wright | 25.0% | 23.6% | 22.6% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Finley | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
| Van Huynh | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 28.4% | 33.6% |
| Justin Morena | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 45.1% |
| Kate Ranney | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 8.8% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 20.0% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.