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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.25+1.56vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.38vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.03-0.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.43+0.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.28-1.22vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.37-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-4.01-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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3.38Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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2.87Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Delaware-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.78Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.18Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Pennsylvania-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 30.3% | 25.9% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 15.7% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wright | 23.6% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 16.9% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kate Ranney | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 29.6% | 18.6% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Voigt | 6.2% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 27.3% | 14.0% | 1.0% |
| Van Huynh | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 16.3% | 56.2% | 5.8% |
| Cruz Vargas | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 5.2% | 92.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.