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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.70+2.31vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.25+0.60vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.03-0.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.43+0.07vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.28-1.22vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.37-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-4.01-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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2.6Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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2.88Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Delaware-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.78Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.19Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Pennsylvania-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Wingender | 17.4% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| James Morrissey | 27.9% | 26.1% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wright | 23.8% | 22.1% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 17.1% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kate Ranney | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 30.0% | 18.5% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Voigt | 6.5% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 26.9% | 14.1% | 1.0% |
| Van Huynh | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 56.3% | 5.8% |
| Cruz Vargas | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 5.1% | 92.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.