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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.63vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+1.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.85+0.74vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.26-1.09vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.97+0.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-1.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-2.62vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.74-2.04vs Predicted
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10St. John's College1.42-2.38vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.60-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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3.16Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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3.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.2%1st Place
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4.74Old Dominion University2.850.1%1st Place
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3.91Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.54Christopher Newport University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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6.96George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.62St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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8.83Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 23.7% | 21.7% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 22.0% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Martschink | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 15.1% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 5.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 5.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 27.5% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 19.0% | 55.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.