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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+3.23vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+2.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.45+1.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.39-1.19vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-1.10+3.94vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.01-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.72+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.11vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.27+0.37vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island-0.20-4.73vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-1.89-1.33vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-1.91-2.14vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Salve Regina University0.4614.5%1st Place
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4.16Roger Williams University0.9414.8%1st Place
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4.78Brown University0.4510.2%1st Place
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2.81Roger Williams University1.3930.6%1st Place
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8.94Bentley University-1.102.4%1st Place
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5.82McGill University0.017.5%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont-0.723.6%1st Place
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7.89University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.973.2%1st Place
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9.37Bentley University-1.271.8%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.6%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island-0.206.3%1st Place
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10.67Brandeis University-1.891.3%1st Place
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10.86Northeastern University-1.911.2%1st Place
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11.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 30.6% | 23.4% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Richards | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mungo McKemey | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Miles Laker | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| Aditya Khanna | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.