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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.25+1.63vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.43+2.24vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.03-1.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-1.58vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.37+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-1.60-0.16vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.28-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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3.47Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
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2.94Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
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6.53Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Pennsylvania-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.95Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 29.6% | 24.2% | 19.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ted Wingender | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Kate Ranney | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 25.5% | 20.8% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Wright | 23.4% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 16.2% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Van Huynh | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 16.1% | 29.3% | 35.1% |
| Justin Morena | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 25.6% | 48.3% |
| Cooper Voigt | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.