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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.25+1.64vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.48vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.03-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.43+1.25vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.28+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania-1.60+0.80vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.37-0.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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3.48Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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2.95Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.04Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Pennsylvania-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.55Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 28.6% | 26.4% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ted Wingender | 15.7% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Wright | 22.4% | 21.9% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Ranney | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 8.2% |
| Cooper Voigt | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 6.6% |
| Justin Morena | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 23.7% | 46.0% |
| Van Huynh | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 28.0% | 37.6% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 18.7% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.