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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.25+1.58vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.03+0.89vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.70+0.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.43+0.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.28-1.24vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.37-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-4.01-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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2.89Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.36Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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3.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Delaware-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.76Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.18Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Pennsylvania-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morrissey | 30.6% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wright | 22.4% | 24.0% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 16.5% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 16.9% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Ranney | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 30.7% | 18.0% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Voigt | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 27.2% | 14.1% | 1.0% |
| Van Huynh | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 56.4% | 5.8% |
| Cruz Vargas | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 5.3% | 92.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.