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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.03+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.43+3.08vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.25-0.40vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.70-0.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-1.73vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.37+0.16vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.28-2.16vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-4.01-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Queen's University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Delaware-0.430.1%1st Place
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2.6Webb Institute1.250.3%1st Place
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3.34Ocean County College0.700.2%1st Place
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3.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.2%1st Place
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6.16Rutgers University-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.84Drexel University-0.280.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Pennsylvania-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Wright | 24.7% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kate Ranney | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 30.6% | 18.9% | 1.8% |
| James Morrissey | 29.3% | 23.9% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 15.8% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Wardlaw Skinner | 16.9% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Van Huynh | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 52.8% | 5.7% |
| Cooper Voigt | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 0.6% |
| Cruz Vargas | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 91.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.